In Part 1 we discussed organizing your prep lists. In Part 2 we discussed how to set goals using the SMART method. Now lets consider some specific areas you might want to set goals for, or to revisit if your situation has changed. So what are you prepping for anyway? Have the threats you prepped for last year changed?Are new threats being considered? Do your preps reflect your perception of the current threats? Lets discuss threat analysis.
The world is a rapidly changing place. New threats or potential threats raise their heads overnight, and occasionally, you will find that a threat you prepared for may not be as significant as it was last year. Or that new threats have emerged that are more important. When you first began prepping, it was because you were concerned about surviving specific events. Threats can be either natural (earthquakes, tornadoes, hurricanes) or man-made (crime, war, economic collapse, terrorist acts, or man-made disasters such as nuclear plant meltdown). Threat analysis needs to be ongoing.
So what factors do you consider in analyzing potential threats. Location is one of the primary ones. Do you live in hurricane, tornado, brush fire or earthquake areas? Do you live near a nuclear power plant (like I do). Do you live in a high crime prone urban area or a relatively peaceful country setting? Make a list of the natural disasters you may face and then how often they have historically happened where you live. How concerned are you about financial collapse and the ensuing financial chaos? Do you think major war is a serious consideration? If so, do you live near a military installation that could be a target?
Do an honest analysis and don’t get carried away with other people’s paranoia. Make your own decisions. As a security professional I do threat analysis for clients and organizations. Threats need to be measured by their probability, severity, and impact on you and your family. Thermonuclear war may be a serious threat but how more probable is a hurricane in you area? The chart below gives you a concept on how to organize the threats that you feel you and your family face and how to organize them. Plan your preps accordingly. Prioritize them according to the severity of the impact on you and your family. Your preps should be prioritized to handle the most probable threats whose impact is severe.
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